Collective Wisdom synopsis

This is a synopsis of the report on Collective Wisdom, an innovation-research project carried out by Mark Abouzeid in collaboration with Carmen Ciciriello between 2003 and 2004.  It investigates the potential for identifying disruptive innovation as it develops at the microscopic level using human behaviour as a primary signal.

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Case Study: TALC as applied to Content Management Systems Technology Adoption

Content Management Systems were first developed as one off complex solutions for Newspaper and Magazine publishers.  A package (not dissimilar to e-procurement) of components pieced together to address the specific workflow needs of target customers, over time leading designs emerged: Vignette, Interwoven, Oracle and even IBM offered ‘packaged’ solutions still targeted at the limited market of Media Publishers with investment costs in the millions justified due to the complexity, personalization required and limited market size. Continue reading

Technology adoption lifecycle revisited

Technology Adoption Lifecycle Analysis (TALC)

New technology presents risk for many customers. They react differently toward this risk based on their innate characteristics, the wants and needs of their companies, and the behaviour of other buyers. The Technology Adoption Life Cycle (TALC) models how different groups of customers adopt to discontinuous innovation at different times. This model helps policy makers and technology developers build the best strategy for each phase of a product’s life. Continue reading

A different Approach

All efforts, to date, overlook the prime, leading indicator of new markets, trends, innovations and technologies…changing human behaviour…the driving force.

Intuitively, most of us understand that 90+% of everything we do is habitual.  Every day we repeat the same actions, thoughts, interactions, conversations and activities.

When we do CHANGE our habitual BEHAVIOUR, we provide a clear signal that something different is happening: that we have interest, intent or involvement in something new.  When enough people change their behaviour, a new market is born. Continue reading

Knowing the question to ask.

Most companies acknowledge a need for market knowledge and try to automate the process of intelligence gathering. They digest as much data existing internally, via clients and suppliers, and on the internet in the faint hope that new opportunities will become self-evident.

On the surface, at least, these efforts make intuitive sense. The Internet is an ongoing conversation, it represents a living and growing memory of the human condition. We record lives, research new frontiers, build businesses, watch children grow….innovate, evolve and die..on the Internet. Continue reading

What is Collective Wisdom

Originally conceived by Mark Abouzeid, Collective Wisdom applies technology, behavioral dynamics, micro-blog harvesting and market profile models to the principles of chaos and complexity theory to solve the greatest problem facing corporations today:

How can market disrupting innovation by spotted early enough to put effective strategies in place that exploit new opportunities and defend against threats.

While historically this has proved impossible, Abouzeid believes the answer lies in the Internet: a universal mirror for what we think, want, explore and need.

He is working with companies, agencies, scientists and venture capitalists to help better understand the dynamics of innovation, where it is most likely to develop and the threats and opportunities it poses.

Originally published September 2002 by Mark Abouzeid.  Copyright 2002, all rights reserved.

Chaos, complexity and Innovation…the internet as focus group

Few people realize that the Internet is one massive focus group, all expressing  their likes, wants, desires, opinions and ideas.  If it were possible to watch, listen, and learn from all this activity; to follow the changes in behaviour and relationships; then companies might be able to pinpoint shifting market landscapes, product trends and disruptive change before its too late.  However, sifting through the mountains of information to find something that you don’t even know you are looking for is virtually impossible…or is it? Continue reading

Theoretical Basis for Collective Wisdom, Innovation in Chaos

Originally published in Nov 20, 2003. Copyright Mark Abouzeid 2003 – 2011, all rights reserved.

The universe, seen from a far distance resembles chaos or random particles scattered, helter skelter.  In the center we see a core (with some order), a linear core which are the established markets, prevailing culture, our civilization…all aspects that currently exist in what would be considered a developed state.

Although markets all  stem from disruptive innovation or the seemingly random evolutionary pattern that follows disruption, by the time we view them as real markets they resemble the same linear path dynamics that we were taught Darwinian envisioned… survival of the fittest. Continue reading